Getting U.S.-Russia Policy Right
Project Expert
About the Project
Despite the current focus on the U.S.-China rivalry, U.S.-Russian relations are of no less consequence for America’s national interest and global peace and security. The two nuclear superpowers remain critical to peace and stability on the vast Eurasian supercontinent; their cooperation is essential to mastering urgent global challenges, such as nuclear proliferation and climate change. A twenty five-year effort to build an enduring cooperative relationship collapsed in 2014 with Russia’s seizure of Crimea. Deteriorating relations since then have raised to an alarming level the risk of military confrontation that could escalate to nuclear exchanges. Why did the animosity between these powers reach this point? Looking forward, how can the United States reduce the risks to acceptable levels without unduly compromising its core interests and principles? Drawing on some forty years of work on Russia-related issues in and out of government, including a tour on the National Security Council staff as the senior officer responsible for Russia policy, I explore those questions in roundtables and writings, building on my book, Getting Russia Right, which was published in October 2023.
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NATO (North Atlantic Treaty Organization)
The Madrid summit paved the way for Finland and Sweden to join and underscored that Russia is NATO’s chief security threat. But the alliance’s new defensive efforts aren’t likely to change Putin’s strategy in Ukraine. -
To prevent Russia's ongoing invasion of Ukraine from escalating into a wider European conflict, Thomas Graham recommends that the United States bolster its deterrence efforts with NATO partners, while leaving the door open for Russia to de-escalate.
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The first summit between Joe Biden and Vladimir Putin eased some of the tension in the fraught U.S.-Russia relationship. It also laid bare the difficult path ahead to resolving differences on many issues, including cybersecurity and human rights.
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